South Korea's South Gyeonggi Police Department was detained and searched. The South Korean police responsible for investigating the martial law storm said on the 13th that it was detaining and searching the South Gyeonggi Police Department. According to Yonhap News Agency and other media reports, the special investigation team of the National Investigation Headquarters under the South Korean Police Department sent investigators to the South Gyeonggi Police Department on the same day to detain and search the director's office and obtain computer and business information. The report said that after the martial law was announced on the evening of the 3rd, the southern police department of Gyeonggi deployed police to the building of the Central Election Management Committee in Guochuan City, Gyeonggi Province and the election training institute in Suwon City, Gyeonggi Province.Macao held a public sacrifice ceremony to mourn the victims of the Nanjing Massacre, and December 13th, 2024 was the 11th national public sacrifice day for the victims of the Nanjing Massacre. On the morning of the same day, the Macao SAR Government held a ceremony at the Institute of Environmental Protection and Security Forces, deeply mourning the victims of the Nanjing Massacre and all the compatriots killed by the Japanese aggressors. (CCTV)The weighted share price index of Taiwan Stock Exchange closed down 0.1% at 23,020.48 points.
CMB International: Upgraded the target price of WuXi Bio to HK$ 22.88, optimistic about the company's valuation and performance repair. CMB International published a report, predicting that the US Biosafety Act will fail with high probability, which will help WuXi Bio to achieve continuous performance growth in a relatively stable business environment. With the recovery of global biomedical financing, we are optimistic about the company's valuation and performance repair. According to the report, the NDAA in FY 2025 does not include the Biosafety Act, and the legislation of the Biosafety Act failed with high probability. On December 7, the US Senate and the House Armed Services Committee announced the National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA) for fiscal year 2025, which was finally negotiated by the committees of the two houses. The Biosafety Act was not included in the amendment of NDAA in FY 2025, which means that the Biosafety Act failed to pass the legislative path of joining NDAA. The Biosafety Act can still promote separate legislation, but considering that the window of the current US Congress session is less than two weeks, the Bank believes that the success rate of separate legislation is extremely low. CMB International maintained the "Buy" rating of Yaoming Bio, and its target price rose from HK$ 13.58 to HK$ 22.88. It is estimated that the company's revenue will increase by 7.1%/12.4%/ 13.9% from 2024 to 2026, and its adjusted net profit will increase by 0.8%/11.1%/13.4% respectively.According to sources, Trump will meet with the widow of former Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe on Sunday.Outlook of Consumer Industry of Minyin Securities in 2025: The expansion of domestic demand grasps the opportunity of differentiation and change. Minyin Securities released a report on the outlook of consumer industry in 2025, saying that consumer demand is generally weak in 2024, and price factors also restrict growth. Looking forward to China's consumer industry in 2025: (1) Consumption plays a leading role and expanding domestic demand is in a more priority position. The variety and scale of trade-in of consumer goods are expected to continue to expand, and local governments will also introduce new policies to promote consumption in light of local conditions. (2) Rational consumption is more differentiated, and consumers pay for quality-price ratio and spiritual experience. The performance of Tou International Consumer Goods Company in China is also characterized by differentiation. Most of them recognize the long-term value of the China market. Despite short-term challenges, they plan to focus on strengthening localization and continue to invest in the China market. (3) When Trump comes to power, consumption will face greater challenges, and it will require higher global supply chain integration ability, diversified layout and localization ability. It is suggested to grasp the main line of domestic demand expansion, including dairy products with expected improvement at the bottom, outdoor sectors with high prosperity and tidal play sectors. If the demand recovers as scheduled, the catering/sports shoes and clothing/chain retail industry in a period of change will be flexible. In terms of export chain, it is necessary to observe whether the risk of trade friction is fully priced. In the medium term, the overseas market is vast, and the key to success is the added value and bargaining power of products, the matching degree between overseas demand and overseas supply chain, and the global diversified layout.
Wang Tao of UBS: It is estimated that deficit ratio will approach 4% of its financial resources or increase its investment in social security medical care next year. Wang Tao, head of Asian economic research and chief China economist of UBS, said that China's fiscal deficit ratio is expected to approach 4% next year, and the scale of ultra-long-term special government bonds excluding capital injection into state-owned banks may be 2 trillion yuan, and the amount of new local government special bonds may be 4.5 trillion to 5 trillion yuan. In fact, the fiscal expansion next year is relatively mild compared with the fiscal stimulus in 2008-2009. Wang Tao believes that next year, the government will increase investment in social security and medical care, and establish a more perfect social security system while boosting residents' confidence in the short term.Sora concept stocks strengthened, Huace Film and Television rose by more than 10%, Sora concept stocks strengthened, Huace Film and Television rose by more than 10%, Fengyuzhu and Tianyu Entertainment both went up, and Borui Communication, Jincai Internet, Yuanlongyatu and Huayang Lianzhong followed suit.German authorities predict that the German economy will stagnate in 2025. On the 12th, local time, Kiel Institute for World Economics, one of the authoritative German economic research institutes, released a winter forecast, predicting that the German GDP will stagnate in 2025, neither increasing nor decreasing, which is 0.5% lower than the previous autumn forecast. Germany's GDP will shrink by 0.2% in 2024, compared with the previous autumn forecast of 0.1%. The agency believes that Germany's potential signs of weak economic growth are emerging, not only facing the foreseeable impact of the US tariff increase, but also the domestic industrial crisis is intensifying. (CCTV Finance)
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide 12-14